Objective: To construct imaging features through computed tomography CT plain scans and enhanced images to assess the severity and progression of acute pancreatitis(AP) patients, aiming to predict the severity of AP and provide a new tool for the clinical management of AP. Methods: 159 AP patients were retrospectively collected from January 2018 to May 2024 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Baotou Medical College, including plain scans and enhanced CT scans. Patients were randomly assigned to two groups in a 7 ∶ 3 ratio, with the training group comprising 110 patients and the validation group comprising 49 patients. The entire pancreatic region was accurately delineated layer by layer using 3D Slicer software to extract key texture features. The best features were selected through standardization of the dataset, univariate analysis combined with LASSO dimensionality reduction, and 10-fold cross-validation. Logistic regression analysis was used to independently construct different stages of the radiomic model, including the plain scan phase, arterial phase, venous phase, delayed phase, combined arterial and venous phase, and the enhanced three-phase combined model. The predictive ability in determining the severity of AP was evaluated through the area under the curve(AUC) value. Results: In the training group, the AUC values for the plain scan phase, arterial phase, venous phase, delayed phase, combined arterial and venous phase, and enhanced three-phase combined model were 0.898, 0.867, 0.847, 0.892, 0.890, and 0.893, respectively; in the validation group, the AUC values were 0.749, 0.868, 0.794, 0.806, 0.766, and 0.802, respectively. Conclusion: The predict effectiveness of enhanced three-phase combined model outperformed the plain scan phase, aterial phase, venous phase, delayed phase, and combined arterial and venous phase models, indicating that the enhanced three-phase combined model has potential clinical application value in predicting the severity of AP patients. |
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