Objective: To investigate the determinants of thrombocytopenia following transcatheter closure in children with patent ductus arteriosus(PDA), to develop a predictive risk model and explore relevant nursing strategies. Methods: An examination of the medical records for 221 children with patent ductus arteriosus who underwent transcatheter closure at Nanjing Children's Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing Medical University from January 2022 to May 2024 was carried out. Post-operative blood routine results categorized patients into those with and without thrombocytopenia. Single-factor analysis and Logistic regression were employed to identify risk factors associated with thrombocytopenia following transcatheter closure. Subsequently, a predictive model was developed based on these findings. Results: The study included 221 children with PDA, and the incidence of thrombocytopenia was 14.03%(31/221). Logistic regression analysis revealed that PDA diameters ≥ 3 mm(OR=2.928, 95%CI:1.124-9.954), duct occluder diameters>8 mm(OR=2.268, 95%CI:1.087-8.376), residual shunting(OR=3.109, 95%CI:1.132-12.855), and other concurrent malformation(OR=1.599, 1.018-5.718) were risk factors for thrombocytopenia in children with patent ductus arteriosus following transcatheter closure. A nomogram model for the prediction of postoperative thrombocytopenia was constructed from the findings of the multivariate Logistic regression analysis, yielding an area under the ROC curve of 0.796(95%CI:0.733-0.859), with sensitivities and specificities of 0.79 and 0.74, respectively. By integrating the nomogram with clinical practice, low, intermediate, and high-risk patient score ranges were established. The incidences of thrombocytopenia in the low, intermediate, and high-risk patient groups were 0.75%, 20.83%, and 51.28%, respectively, demonstrating a substantial discrepancy(P<0.001). Conclusion: The PDA diameter ≥ 3 mm, duct occluder diameter>8 mm, residual shunting, and concurrent other malformation are risk factors for thrombocytopenia following catheter-based transcatheter closure of PDA in children. A risk prediction model developed from these risk factors provides significant reference value for postoperative care and helps optimize nursing strategies. |
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